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+--- Thread: Election 2022 (Poll added) (/thread-5589.html)
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - ElwoodBlues1 - 05-18-2022
I'll have a guess at the result, Libs to lose 7-8 seats and lose Government.
In the Senate be a bit more of a mess with Labor getting some help from the Greens who may add another senator but still needing the support of the following,
Lambie, Hansen and Nick X.
Reckon Lambie and Hansen might have a mate each in the Senate but NickX will be on his lonesome.
So Albo to win but pushing his ideas through the Senate might need some work with the independents.Tough times ahead with inflation, interest rates, wars etc and I reckon one term might be all Albo gets ,not a great time to govern imho.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - DJC - 05-18-2022
(05-18-2022, 02:26 PM)Macca37 link Wrote:The Silent Generation, those people born before 1946, number close to 1.4 million.
Only a small minority were educated to year 11 standard, many leaving between years 8 and 10, with possibly 3 percent going to university. Their formative years were spent in a society that did not welcome criticism of authority, particularly governments.
Quite a number have had neither the means nor the motivation to engage meaningfully in today's society and have retreated to the comfort of their conservative values.
This is the group I refer to as rusted on LNP voters.
My brothers were born before 1946. They grew up in a working class household in a working class neighbourhood. Union membership was a given and Pig Iron Bob was the enemy of the people.
Our electorate has always returned a Labor member, apart from a brief flirtation with Phil Cleary. Large areas of Melbourne’s north and west are still home to rusted on ALP voters from the 1940s, but the gentrification of suburbs is diluting their electoral importance.
Interestingly, many Teal supporters were rusted on Libs …
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - Thryleon - 05-18-2022
(05-18-2022, 09:43 PM)Lods link Wrote:Thry
Queensland is probably the last state to use as a snapshot of the rest of Australia.
The seniors vote in Queensland during the last state election was driven by two factors.
Firstly the handling of the pandemic.
Despite the rest of Australia seeing her as a heartless bitch, to older Queenslanders Annastacia was the one who kept us pretty safe.
While other parts suffered long lockdowns we went about life 'comparatively' much less affected.
Secondly, the alternative LNP was unable to present themselves as an opposition with any real advantages for older folks. They were pretty ineffective in championing the case for change.
I'm very much in the middle of the spectrum when it comes to voting.
As an older 'Queenslander' (not really I just live here ;D ) I had no hesitation in voting Labor in the State election.
Will I vote the same on Saturday?
Not sure, especially now I hear a Numbat might be running.
Just an example Lods. its something i have heard over the years a few times.
Older voters tend to go Labor. This may have even been a historic truth dating back to when superannuation became a thing, and the pension was talked about being abolished.
We have been told for the last couple of years that anecdotal evidence isnt evidence, and I am shocked to discover (not really) that people here are using anecdotal accounts as evidence.
All it really says is what sort of classes we belong to and whom we associate with.
The loudest voices we hear are the minorities out there. Most people keep their opinions to themselves, and a landslide Labor victory despite how much I agree with Mantis comments above purely because they took the approach of protection is better than cure first.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - capcom - 05-19-2022
(05-18-2022, 11:24 PM)ElwoodBlues1 link Wrote:I'll have a guess at the result, Libs to lose 7-8 seats and lose Government.
I'm thinking it'll be knife edge, and even then, with so many postals, a result could well remain unclear for some time.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - ElwoodBlues1 - 05-19-2022
(05-19-2022, 12:47 AM)capcom link Wrote:I'm thinking it'll be knife edge, and even then, with so many postals, a result could well remain unclear for some time.I think about a 3-4% swing to labor but then a mess in the Senate...
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - Lods - 05-19-2022
(05-18-2022, 11:42 PM)Thryleon link Wrote:Just an example Lods. its something i have heard over the years a few times.
Older voters tend to go Labor. This may have even been a historic truth dating back to when superannuation became a thing, and the pension was talked about being abolished.
We have been told for the last couple of years that anecdotal evidence isnt evidence, and I am shocked to discover (not really) that people here are using anecdotal accounts as evidence.
All it really says is what sort of classes we belong to and whom we associate with.
The loudest voices we hear are the minorities out there. Most people keep their opinions to themselves, and a landslide Labor victory despite how much I agree with Mantis comments above purely because they took the approach of protection is better than cure first.
I've always heard the opposite Thry
Older voters are more conservative.
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/FlagPost/2019/December/The_2019_Australian_Election_Study
But it's not a one size fits all.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - DJC - 05-19-2022
(05-19-2022, 04:40 AM)Lods link Wrote:I've always heard the opposite Thry
Older voters are more conservative.
https://www.aph.gov.au/About_Parliament/Parliamentary_Departments/Parliamentary_Library/FlagPost/2019/December/The_2019_Australian_Election_Study
But it's not a one size fits all.
I think that older voters are more conservative in that they are less likely to be swinging voters and stick to the party they have always voted for.
A far more significant factor than age is gender with support for the ALP at 55% for female voters and 51% for male voters.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - ElwoodBlues1 - 05-20-2022
Had an email account spammed by Liberal HQ wanting my vote, we postal voted and had to give our email address but I wasnt expecting it to be used by the LP to conduct advertising.
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - Baggers - 05-20-2022
Early voted today. Never ceases to amaze how people turn up at polling booths with this look of determination, even annoyance. Then the surly comments to folks handing out how-to-vote forms for someone they don't like!
Re: Election 2022 (Poll added) - cookie2 - 05-20-2022
Had a phone call last night from Little Johnny.